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Prediction Mode Process Flow
Prediction mode is a collection of Monte Carlo simulations.
The coefficient set and initial images for a prediction run are identical
for every simulation, but the initializing seed value is altered a MONTE_CARLO_ITERATION
(MC) number of times, with each simulation evolving slightly differently
due to the modified random number series.
The first seed value is set in
the scenario file with the RANDOM_SEED
flag. The number of Monte Carlo iterations is set in the scenario
file using the MONTE_CARLO_ITERATION
flag. The coefficient set is defined in the scenario file with the PREDCTION_*_BEST_FIT
flag, where "*" indicates a coefficient
type. For a description of prediction mode output see our data
page.
Initial
Conditions
Each simulation in a prediction run is initialized with the PREDCITION_*_BEST_FIT
coefficient set and SLEUTH images as described in a basic
simulation. The seed value for the first simulation is initialized
with the RANDOM_SEED flag. After a simulation
is completed, the initializing seed that began that simulation is reset
and a new simulation is run. This process continues MC number of times.
Growth Cycles
It is assumed that one growth cycle represents a year of growth. Following
this assumption:
number of growth cycles in a simulation
= stop_date - start_date.
Conclude Simulation
When the required number of growth cycles has been generated, the simulation
concludes.

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