| Table 10: Multinomial Logit Model Results for Conversion of Developed Land to Industrial Use: 1985-95 | ||||||||
| Estimated Coefficients by County | ||||||||
| Independent Variable | Alameda | Contra Costa | Marin | Napa | San Mateo | Santa Clara | Solano | Sonoma |
| Site initially in Commercial Use | -3.652 | -2.5482 | -2.9589 | -4.0897 | -2.5046 | -2.4627 | -3.507 | |
| Site Initially in Industrial Use | -2.7760 | -1.8381 | -12.9846 | -14.0934 | -2.9181 | -0.1793 | -13.3777 | |
| Site Initially in Public Use | -2.3406 | -2.1917 | -0.094 | -2.6594 | -3.2134 | -2.741 | -1.2104 | |
| Site Initially in Transportation/Utiltities Use | -2.4046 | -3.2835 | -5.5958 | -3.722 | -1.8044 | -2.8539 | -11.0559 | |
| 1980-85 %Employment change | -0.1431 | -0.3002 | 0.0649 | -1.2065 | 0.4323 | 1.8652 | ||
| 1980-85 %Household change | 0.4596 | -0.5314 | -1.7357 | 0.5621 | 9.0355 | -3.017 | ||
| 1980 Households | 1.5E-05 | 0.0000 | 0.00003 | 0.000033 | 1.3E-05 | -0.0001 | -3E-05 | |
| 1980 Employment | -0.00001 | 0.0000 | -0.000004 | -0.00001 | -0.00001 | 0.00021 | -3E-05 | |
| Jobs/Household Ratio-1980 | 0.1763 | -0.5239 | 0.0322 | 0.6855 | -1.5229 | 3.9194 | ||
| Distance to San Francisco (in 200 meter increments) | 0.0014 | 0.0001 | -0.00452 | -0.00544 | -0.00199 | -0.0066 | 0.048 | |
| Distance to San Jose (in 200 meter increments) | 0.00343 | -0.0024 | 0.00361 | -0.00499 | 0.000717 | -0.00999 | -0.0472 | |
| Distance to Frwy Interchange (in 200 meter increments) | -0.00383 | 0.0093 | -0.00397 | 0.0109 | -0.0236 | -0.0914 | -0.0242 | |
| Distance to Frwy nearest BART station (in 200 meter increments) | -0.0119 | 0.0008 | ||||||
| Slope1: 1-2% site slope | -0.3168 | -0.3168 | 0.3588 | 0.2065 | 0.119 | 0.6176 | -0.1495 | |
| Slope2: 3-5% site slope | -0.406 | -0.4060 | 0.4568 | -0.1751 | -0.4688 | 0.9068 | -0.3593 | |
| Slope3: 6-10% site slope | -0.4065 | -0.4065 | 0.8932 | -0.7964 | -1.1126 | 1.3367 | -1.4164 | |
| Slope4: 11-15% site slope | -1.6094 | -0.3439 | 0.9322 | 0.0265 | -2.8342 | 0.3494 | -11.6454 | |
| Slope5: > 15% site slope | -1.6028 | -0.2490 | -8.9979 | -0.1974 | -10.6076 | -6.6916 | -2.1002 | |
| Within Sphere-of-Influence | -0.2467 | -0.2467 | -1.0716 | -2.0653 | 0.977 | -1.0117 | ||
| Distance to S-O-I (in 200 meter increments) | 0.000492 | 0.0246 | 0.0267 | 0.00185 | 0.0101 | 0.0276 | 0.0138 | |
| % of Adjacent Grid Cells in Residential Use | -1.0650 | -1.0650 | 1.9711 | -0.9334 | 0.6826 | -0.4311 | -0.8217 | |
| % of Adjacent Grid Cells in Commercial Use | 0.3144 | 0.3144 | 0.9592 | -0.0936 | -0.4127 | -0.6508 | 1.1379 | |
| % of Adjacent Grid Cells in Industrial Use | -0.2342 | -0.2342 | 4.0552 | -0.6222 | -1.4408 | -8.7258 | 0.3137 | |
| % of Adjacent Grid Cells in Public Use | -0.615 | -0.6150 | -1.9428 | -0.5094 | -0.1378 | -0.5454 | -1.4417 | |
| % of Adjacent Grid Cells in Transportation Uses | -0.3958 | -0.3958 | -23.7953 | -0.0883 | -0.6168 | 1.2639 | -1.3649 | |
| Vacant Land Hectares within 200 meters | 1.114 | 1.1146 | 2.287 | 0.8426 | 1.9497 | 2.8719 | -1.2104 | |
| Distance to nearest commercial use (in 200 meter increments) | -0.1609 | -0.0712 | -0.0868 | -0.2735 | -0.1492 | -0.2657 | -0.0172 | |
| Distance to nearest industrial use (in 200 meter increments) | 0.0118 | -0.0423 | -0.0247 | -0.0252 | -0.0177 | -0.0538 | 0.00648 | |
| Distance to nearest public use (in 200 meter increments) | 0.00923 | -0.0321 | -0.00168 | -0.0506 | -0.0136 | -0.1119 | 0.00739 | |
| Intercept | -3.3399 | 0.7304 | -4.6038 | 2.923 | -1.24 | 3.2127 | 26.1114 | |
| Number of Hectare Land Use Changes: 1985-95 | 25 | 11 | 0 | 24 | 15 | 71 | 8 | 48 |
| Key: Bolded coefficient estimates are significant at the .05 level; no significance level could be estimated for shaded coefficients | ||||||||