Thomas Goddard, Len Kryzanowski, Karen Cannon, Cesar Izaurralde, Tim Martin

Potential for Integrated GIS-Agriculture Models for Precision Farming Systems.


ABSTRACT

Precision farming aims to optimize the use of soil resources and external inputs(fertilizers and herbicides) on a site specific basis. Precision farming takes advantage of rapidly evolving GPS technology together with electronic sensors and controllers to monitor crop response under variable inputs and landscape position. Objectives of this study were: (i) to discover the soil-landscape-input relationships governing crop yields in characteristic Alberta landscapes, (ii) to test the performance of an agricultural simulation model using site-specific data, and (iii) to develop a method to analyze high-resolution data by linking the model to a GIS. Crop yields were monitored during 1994 and 1995 at four sites in Alberta using a high-precision 3-D DGPS. The Erosion-Productivity Impact Calculator (EPIC) model was run on a sub-field, site-specific basis using soil pit information and two levels of climatic data. The crop growth routines were compared against two years of yield maps obtained from 40 - 100 ha fields. A program was designed and built to couple the EPIC model with the GRASS-GIS. Our results show the potential to depict and analyze the variance in crop yield, leaching potential, erosion risk and economics on a farm field scale. The application of this approach in precision farming would allow for optimizing the use of resources on a site-specific basis thereby contributing to minimize detrimental environmental impacts such as nitrate leaching or erosion.

INTRODUCTION

Farming systems are continuing to change in response to economic, technological and social trends. Farming practises are becoming questioned not only by farmers but the public at large. Concerns are profitability and environmental impact. Farmers look to adopt new technology. In Canada, the trend over the past two decades has been to reduced tillage systems (direct seeding) and increase use of fertilizers and herbicides. The cost savings of reduced tillage does not outweigh the added cost of crop chemicals so profit margins have remained narrow. Our labour costs are high and our natural resources finite so we must utilize technology to maintain competitiveness in a world market. Developments in sensor- controller technology, computers and positioning systems now bring new opportunities for farm management (Goddard et al. 1995).

The development of the publicly available global positioning system (GPS) has opened new doors in opportunities for spatial data. This is a passive positioning system from a constellation of 24 orbiting radio-navigation satellites. They provide continuous position data provided the receivers have a line of site access (or nearly so) to the satellites. Positioning can be two or three dimensional in real-world coordinates.

Differential GPS (DGPS) uses a stationary monitor receiver to calculate the difference between the true position and the determination of a position from the satellites for a point in time. This allows the differential correction of a roving (remote) receiver so that the errors, induced as part of the military declassification, can be removed. This allows the positions of a roving receiver to have a three dimensional accuracy of 20 cm or better (Lachapelle et al. 1994). The use of a radio modem allows the transfer of differential corrections and corrected position determinations in real-time. The combination of accuracy and real- time determinations presents possibilites for guidance of farm equipment and the development of accurate digital elevation models (DEMs) as a by-product of other GPS aided farm operations (e.g. yield mapping). Experience in Alberta has shown that harvesting operations on a 80 hectare field can also yield 100,000 elevation measurements. Subsequent computer processing and terrain analyses can provide useful information to augment yield map interpretation.

Detailed yield map interpretation combined with terrain analysis from high quality DEMs and site specific soil sampling will provide new opportunities for the use of integrated crop models. Modeling landscapes and crops may negate the desire of expensive grid sampling which is the current recommendation to those entering the practise of precision farming.

One model that holds some potential for this application is the Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator (EPIC). Using either simulated weather (based upon monthly parameters) or daily records it will predict crop growth under a variety of conditions. It contains a soil model, tillage models, water erosion models (variations of USLE), a wind erosion model, hydrologic processes and pesticide movement, all dynamic on a daily time step. Economic parameters are included in the model as static parameters. EPIC has been shown to be effective for a variety of purposes and recent interest has been expressed on the Canadian prairies to evaluate EPIC with long-term research plots (Moulin and Beckie 1993; Toure et al 1995).

A research project was initiated in 1993 in Alberta to look at the application of GPS and related technologies at a farm scale. The objective was to use DGPS to allow yield mapping of fields, site specific sampling and variable rate fertilizer application. The goal was to develop the ability to apply the optimal rate of fertilizer for each part of a field for maximum economic yield and minimum environmental impact. The project presented the opportunity to examine the use of integrated crop models for application in site specific management systems.

A second project utilizing the same sites and equipment was initiated in 1994. The objective of this project was to examine an alternative approach to grid sampling of landscapes in order to reduce costs to farmers. The project would take advantage of detailed terrain data provided by high precision DGPS and integrated crop models to study the development of optimum agronomic management on a site specific basis. The study would be further aided by the development of software to integrate the EPIC model with the GIS, GRASS in order to provide a prototype to provide agronomic recommendations and risk assessment on a site specific basis across a field.

METHODS

Four farmer cooperators were selected in a north-south line through Alberta in order to encompass a range of soil and climate conditions (approximately 49-54 degrees N and 112 degrees E). One test field was selected on each farm. One site was irrigated (57 hectares) and the other three were dryland fields ranging from 32 to 81 hectares in size. Field characteristics were typical for the area (Table 1).

Table 1. Field characterization for three dryland sites in Alberta, Canada.

HUSSAR STETTLER MUNDARE
Frost Free Days 115 115 100
Annual Total Degree Days
(above 5C)
1550 1450 1400
Mean Annual Precip. (mm) 350 400 450
Topography Strongly rolling Strongly hummocky hummocky
Elevation range (m) 44 12 5
Parent Material till fluvial/till till/fluvial
Soils Dark Brown
Chernozemic,
Regosolic,
Gleysolic
Thin Black
Chernozemic,
Gleysolic,
Regosolic
Black
Chernozemic,
Solonetzic,
Gleysolic

Commercial continuous yield monitors were installed on the four different types of farm combines. The yield monitors were interfaced with the portable GPS receivers when each of the project fields were harvested. Variable rate fertilization was done with a pneumatic banding applicator with two tanks for individual control of the rate of nitrogen (urea) and phosphate (mono ammonium phosphate) fertilizer. Research in the Canadian prairies has shown this to be the most efficient and environmentally benign method of fertilizer application. The delivery rate from the two tanks of fertilizer could be adjusted instantly, according to a prescription map, as the tractor-applicator moved across the field.

The GPS receivers used were 10 channel C/A code narrow correlator spacing NovAtel 951 GPSCard connected to NovAtel Model 501 antennas (Fenton et al. 1991, Van Dierendonck et al. 1992). Differential corrections were done in post processing of harvest operations. Three dimensional accuracy at the sub-decimeter level were achieved. For variable rate fertilizer application the base station set up in the field corner and the mobile receiver on the tractor were linked with two short range wireless radio modems in the low 900 MHz RF range. This provided DGPS positions in real-time. The integrated GPS system and it's performance is described by Lachapelle et al. (1994).

For the parent project 18 to 26 hectares at each location was soil sampled using a 68 by 68 m grid in the fall of each year. At each grid-line intersection, composite samples of 12 to 15 cores were taken at four increments to a depth of 90 cm. The soil test results were used in conjunction with yield maps, aerial photographs and topographic maps to construct fertilizer application maps. Map units with similar levels of N and P were defined. The optimum application rates for N and P were estimated based on soil test values, yield and landscape features. The Bow Island and Mundare sites were mapped for salinity using an EM38 salinity meter and GPS as described by Cannon et al. (1994).

Fertilizer rate experiments were conducted in strips 13 m wide across the full length of the fields. Four constant rates of N with one rate of P were used in one block. The other block had three constant rates of P with one rate of N. Each rate was replicated twice. On an adjacent area, variable rate applications (N and P) were compared to constant rate applications in alternating strips.

The public domain, raster based GIS, GRASS (Geographic Resource Analysis Support System) was used for mapping, overlays and data analyses (U.S. Army, 1993). The landform regimes were described using the system of Pennock et al. (1987).

In 1994 and 1995 site specific sampling points were characterized at all sites for the purposes of providing input for the EPIC model. Holes were dug at the shoulder, backslope and footslope position of four hills at each site. Soil profiles were described and sampled for physical and chemical analyses. The position of each hole was established with DGPS.

A GRASS statistical routine was developed (s.rstats) to search the raw yield data around the soil description hole for yield data from the combine harvestor. The routine will for a desired number of yield data points (e.g. n=15) around a point providing the mean and standard deviation of yield as well as the closest value to the point and its distance along with the mean distance of all points. This allows the GIS operator to determine and control the areal extent of the yield data to conform to landscape position, fertilizer treatment or other field features. The resultant yields and their variances are used to assess the performance of the EPIC crop model for site specific management.

The EPIC model version 3090 was used on a DOS platform. Detailed profile data were used to generate EPIC input files. Although some climate data was recorded at each field site, the simulations reported here are using the nearest weather station data (less than 30 km distance). Daily data from the nearest stations was obtained and assembled into the appropriate format for EPIC. The crop at two of the sites in 1994 (Hussar, Stettler) was spring wheat and canola at the other (Mundare). The plant growth parameters for the Canadian prairies from Kiniry et al. (1995) were used instead of the defaults.

RESULTS and DISCUSSION

Only results from the three dryland farms will be presented and discussed. Delays in obtaining the yield data for 1995 have prevented presentation of that data at this time.

The performance of the DGPS receivers and the software for solution of position allowed for vertical accuracies in the range of 70 mm and are futher reported elsewhere (Lachapelle et al., 1994). The amount of elevation data collected in each field was dependent upon the duration of harvest operations but was usually not less than 50,000 observations for an 80 hectare field. The consequence of using high precision DGPS each year, or several times per year (e.g. planting, harvesting, spraying) is that very large data sets can be accumulated in a very short period of time as a by-product of other precision farming operations. The data was not geometrically even as the GPS receiver was mounted on the combine harvester which cut the crop at six to nine meter widths depending upon the crop and combine design. The data collection rate was constant (1 Hz) and since combines have hydrostatic drives it allows a continuously variable forward speed which usually had data spaced from one to 2.5 m within the lines. This presented some issues of either de-densifying data or using robust interpolation techniques.

Satisfactory topographic contours were developed in GRASS using the thin plate spline method with tension and smoothing ("s.surf.tps"). Linearity of the raw data was reflected in the result of using an inverse distance weighted routine ("r.idw"). If several data sets were to be combined as mentioned above, the data density would become so great that any interpolation method would likely be adequate.

The characteristics of the soils varied greatly with landscape position (Table 2). Often the difference in classification at each position was at the soil order level of the Canadian System of Soil Classification.

Yields measured by the combine harvesters were found to vary by slope position at all sites. An example of one site and year is presented in Table 3 of data from the whole field when segmented according to landscape element (after Pennock et al. 1987).

The measured yields by landscape position at the four transects in each field also displayed the same trend however, a difference with respect to the lower slope position is evident between the site with conventional tillage (Stettler) and the site which has been under a direct seeding system for 10 years (Hussar) (Figure 1). The effect of the thick straw mulch on temperature and moisture as well as the finer soil textures have all contributed to less of a difference between slope position. The lower slope position at Hussar was very moist and crop lodging did occur to further decrease yield. The wheat grown at Hussar in 1994 was a newly licensed variety of a new wheat type (Canada Prairie Spring wheat, AC Taber variety). EPIC crop parameters may not be appropriate for that type of wheat.

EPIC yields were consistently lower for the three sites in 1994 ( 1.4 Mg/ha and 2.0 Mg/ha respectively). Likewise, the coefficient of variation for EPIC predicted yields was nearly half the CV of the measured yields (CV for predicted was 27% and for actual, 49%). Linear regression analysis indicated a significant, but weak, relationship between the predicted and measured yields (Figure 2). Inspection of the canola crop and wheat crops independently showed no better agreement of one over the other. Recent calibration and validation work with EPIC in France showed a coefficient of determination of half the value obtained here (Cabelguenne et al. 1990). They used nearly same number of data points and the crop was only wheat. Wheat was found to have the lowest coefficients of determinations compared to other crops such as soybeans and sorghum (Cabelguenne et al. 1990). Improved relationships are expected with daily weather data from an on site station as well as mass transfer of runoff from one landscape element to the other.

In order for integrated crop models to be accepted, the ability to fairly represent yield potential on a site specific basis is needed. The benefit of using an integrated model is that other features of the model can then be used with little additional effort. This latter feature may be very appealing for wide spread use in the agriculture industry. Models for pesticide leaching, erosion and tillage are more likely to be used if they come as part of an agronomic model that can be used for prescription mapping and risk assessment.

Table 2. Soil characteristics by landscape position for three dryland sites.

Landscape Position
Footslope Backslope Shoulder
Site Mean STD Mean STD Mean STD
Hussar OM% 3.2 0.3 3.9 2.8 3.3 2.3
Depth to B
horizon (cm)
11 1 20 9 10 1
pH 6.4 0.3 6.7 0.9 6.6 0.9
Sand% 37 8 40 6 38 6
Clay% 29 6 26 4 28 5
Nitrate (ppm) 10 1 16 15 17 19
Phosphate
(ppm)
13 4 12 8 9 5
Mundare OM% 3.6 1.2 3.6 1.7 3.3 1.5
Depth to B
horizon (cm)
44 26 30 3 16 7
pH 5.8 0.2 7.0 1.1 6.1 0.7
Sand% 43 10 50 8 49 7
Clay% 20 3 20 3 21 2
Nitrate (ppm) 20 2 16 8 12 7
Phosphate
(ppm)
22 11 16 8 14 8
Stettler OM% 4.5 0.1 2.5 0.3 2.5 0.8
Depth to B
horizon (cm)
58 23 25 13 13 3
pH 6.4 0.7 6.5 0.2 7.0 0.5
Sand% 61 1 70 6 71 9
Clay% 15 0 13 3 14 4
Nitrate (ppm) 25 1 12 7 11 3
Phosphate
(ppm)
10 5 13 8 13 9

Table 3. Yield of fertilized and unfertilized spring wheat by landscape position at the Hussar site, 1994.

Spring wheat yield (Mg/ha)
Landscape position
Fertilizer Treatment Shoulder Backslope Footslope
Fertilized (F) 3.59 3.74 3.67
Unfertilized (U) 2.54 2.64 3.32
F - U 1.05 1.11 0.35

Figure 1: Measured and predicted yields by slope position
at two sites. Figure 2: Regressed EPIC yields for three dryland sites
in 1994 (Wheat and canola).

Regression ANOVA Table for Figure 2.

Source  Sum of sq.  Deg of Free.  Mean Sq.  F-Ratio  Prob>F
Model     1.13         1            1.13      8.31    0.01
Error     3.59        28            0.14
Total     4.72

Coefficient of determination  0.24

Variable  Coefficient  S.E.E.  T-Statistic  Prob>t
Constant     1.16      0.17       6.87       0.00
Yield        0.22      0.08       2.81       0.01

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Funding for this project was provided by the Canada-Alberta Environmentally Sustainable Agriculture (CAESA) agreement. The project benefited from the field and computer skills of Germar Lohstraeter and Sheilah Nolan of Alberta Agriculture, Food and Rural Development. GPS support was provided by the University of Calgary, Department of Geomatics.

REFERENCES